The reason we created this page started with New Hampshire but will assuredly expand in the coming weeks. New Hampshire law states that any delegates selected for a candidate that is no longer in the race is not bound to vote for any specific candidate at the convention.
As you know we're the #1 source for Superdelegates anywhere. Now we introduce to you our 2012 Unbound Delegate List. The top table shows the current candidates and any delegates that have endorsed them. The bottom table shows selected delegates' names and the candidate that they were originally pledged to.
As with our Superdelegate List we only accept endorsements that can be proven by a link. Word of mouth does not work for us.
John Huntsman won two delegates in the New Hampshire primary. Today the New Hampshire Secretary of State released the delegate list consisting of twenty delegates of which Huntsman got three. Why did they give him three instead of two?
Tuesday 10 January 2012: 20 of 23 of 12 New Hampshire's delegates to the Republican National Convention are bound to presidential contenders based on the results of the voting in today's New Hampshire Primary.
20 12 National Convention delegates are to be bound proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide [RSA 659:93].
A 10% threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be allocated National Convention delegates.
Allocate delegates based on the 20 12 × candidate's vote ÷ total statewide vote. Round any fractional allocation to the nearest whole number of delegates.
Any delegate positions that remain open (as a result of threshold or rounding) are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. - Green Papers
As for the Huntsman delegates you may ask "who cares... Huntsman dropped out." It turns out that under New Hampshire election law, these delegates are now unbound and are basically superdelegates (aka unpledged delegates).
Candidates must submit a form to the Secretary of State announcing their delegates and alternates
RSA 655:50 Selection of Delegates: Each presidential candidate who has filed pursuant to RSA 655:47 shall file with the secretary of state no later than the third Friday following the last day of the filing period before the presidential primary the names and addresses in alphabetical order of the delegates and their alternates, one alternate per delegate, who shall represent him as his delegation to the national convention.
The delegates that the candidates selected have been released on the Secretary of State's website.
Jon Huntsman 3 Delegates and 3 Alternate Delegates Delegates: Paul J. Collins, Jr. Renee Plummer Sarah Stewart
CERTIFICATE OF DELEGATE/ALTERNATE DELEGATE SELECTED FOR THE NATIONAL CONVENTION
I, _____________ , certify that my domicile is in ward ______ in the city (or town) of ____________ county of _______________, state of New Hampshire, and am a Qualified voter therein; that I am a registered member of the party; that, if selected, I shall serve as delegate or alternate to the national convention of the ______________ party next to be held for the nomination of candidates of said party for president and vice-president of the United States. I further certify that, if selected as delegate or alternate delegate, I will attend such convention unless I shall be prevented by sickness or other occurrence over which I have no control. I pledge myself, if selected as delegate or alternate delegate to said convention, whenever I shall vote, to vote for the nomination of ________________________ as candidate for said party for president so long as he shall be a candidate before said convention.
Note the last few lines. "So long as he shall be a candidate before said convention." Besides being completely sexist and ruling out that a woman could ever be a candidate for President in New Hampshire, this statement makes the delegate unbound if their candidate drops out.
We all know that Huntsman dropped out and endorsed Romney. We are awaiting word from the NH Secretary of State's office to confirm whether or not Huntsman has officially released his delegates. If released, due to the penalties, the three delegates for Huntsman will either count for 1/2 vote or he will need to remove a delegate. If the nomination goes down to the wire, every vote will count. For now Paul J Collins Jr, Renee Plummer, and Sarah Stewart will stay off of our 2012 GOP Superdelegate List but we may add them in the near future.
With about a week to spare, the Census Bureau completed its statutory obligation to release redistricting data to the states before April 1, 2011. In this post, I am going to cover the "smaller" states -- Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and West Virginia -- leaving Michigan and New York for a separate post.
Maine stayed at two representatives. The target population for each district is 664,000. In Maine, both seats are relatively safe Democratic seats. Currently, the First District covers the central and southwestern coastal region and the Second District covers the remainder of the state. With the current lines, the First District is about 9,000 residents larger than the Second District, but that represents about a 1% deviation from the target. Even with the Tea Party controlling the Governor's mansion in Maine, I would be shocked at any significant changes to the lines.
Massachusetts lost one representative to go down to nine members. After the last election, all ten of the current seats were held by Democrats, though the Tenth barely stayed Democratic in an open election. From a numbers standpoint, there is no obvious seat to save or seat to cut. The gap between the smallest district (the First in western Massachusetts) and the largest district (the Third in east central Massachusetts) is less than 20,000. Even the Third is about 63,000 short of the target populaton of 728,000. As the numbers do not lead to any district that stands out as an obvious cut or an obvious keep, that leaves local politics, geography, and the concerns about keeping all nine seats safe as the factors driving redistricting.
A natural candidate for cutting (when you have ten incumbents of the same party) would be the newest member. That would Bill Keating who won the Tenth in 2010. The Tenth is also the most marginal of the district with Mr. Keating winning by only 4% (and with less than 50%) of the vote. The argument against carving up the Tenth is geographic. The Tenth is in southeastern Massachusetts and only borders two districts. From a geographic standpoint, Geographically, something like the Seventh (the area to the north and west of Boston) would be easier to splice up as it borders four districts). However, Ed Markey is the senior member of the delegation having been around since 1977. What the folks in Boston would like to see is one of the ten volunteer for the task of taking on Scott Brown allowing their district to be carved up and keeping the other nine members of the delgation happy.
A milestone has been passed in Minnesota. The Franken-Coleman battle is now the longest in the state's history. From TPM:
However, this race is still not the all-time record-holder since the direct election of Senators began. That honor goes to the 1974 New Hampshire race, for which the seat stayed empty all the way into the Summer of 1975. Then again, we can't rule that out for this race.
On the one hand, I'm an Al Franken fan, and want to see him seated. He is an actual Democrat, as opposed to the "Conservadems", a term introduced by Rachel Maddow last night. Then again, I'm concerned enough about these Blue Dogs that I worry that even if we won 75 seats, they'd still idiotically cling to the idea that we can't get cloture.
Meet the Conservadems. And as Rachel says, and it worked OH SO WELL back in 1993...
Since Judd Gregg has said that he won't be seeking re-election for his Senate seat next year, it might be a good time to take an early look at the races shaping up there.
First, while the graphic is a little hard to see, the left image is county-by-county results for the 2008 election, with blue being President Obama, and the one on the right is 2000, with blue being John Kerry. Until 1992, it was Republican, having only voted for a Democratic president since it was one of the thirteen colonies in three cases: Woodrow Wilson, FDR and LBJ. But in 1992, it became a swing state. Last year, it became pretty solid.
Current officeholders are:
Governor: John Lynch (D) Senators: Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Judd Gregg (IIE) Representatives: Carol Shay-Porter (D) and Paul Hodes (D)
The Governor and Council form of government is unique to the State of New Hampshire. No other state in the nation has two governmental branches as accountable to its citizens as New Hampshire.
New Hampshire has the third largest legislative body in the English-speaking world. Only the US House of Representatives and the British Parliament have more representatives than New Hampshire. We pride ourselves on our "citizen" legislature as the 400 members of our House of Representatives and the 24 Senators receive a salary of only $100.00 per year. The New Hampshire Governor and Council form of government has stood the test of time. It is by far the most unique and open form of state government in our nation. The New Hampshire Executive Council holds the distinction of being the first and the last of its kind in the nation. It is a vestige of the Colonial era and a public reminder of the continuing indication of the basic distrust Granite State citizens have for dictatorial government.
In the Executive Branch, the five Executive Councilors are also from the "citizen body" as none are full-time professional politicians. They are truly "citizen representatives" to the Executive Branch similar to our "citizen" legislature. The five Councilors are elected separately from the Governor, though their terms are for the same two years.
Democrats hold majorities in the state offices, too. This means that there is depth of field if either of the reps run for the Senate seat in 2010. New Hampshire is also the chosen state of the Free State Project, which may sway some influence in the future.
Paul Hodes has already announced his candidacy, Carol Shea-Porter is considering, and former Senator Sununo and Congressman Charlie Bass are also considering running on the Wepublican side. And now the polling numbers: