Welcome to Democratic Convention Watch

Donate to DCW


Follow DCW on Twitter
Follow DCW on Facebook
2016 Democratic Convention
2016 Republican Convention Charlotte Host Committee
DNCC
2010 Census

Follow DCW on Google+
DCW iPhone App Info
A Guide to DemConWatch
Tags
FAQ
2008 Democratic Primary Links
2008 Democratic National Convention Links
DemConWatch Archives '05-'08
DemConWatch Speeches
Inauguration Information
DCW Store

HOME
Mobile Version




Search


Advanced Search
Contributors:
MattOreo
DocJess

This site is not affiliated with the DNC, DNCC, or any campaign.

Email us at

Blog Roll
Frontloading HQ
The Field
MyDD
Swing State Project
DemNotes
DemRulz

DCW in the News
St. Louis Channel 2 News
AP
Politico
Wall Street Journal
The New York Times
NPR
Wired
US News & World Report

Quick Hit's RSS Feed
Supreme Court Upholds Michigan Ban on Affirmative Action in College Admmissons (tmess2)
By a 6-2 vote (no majority opinion, Justice Kagan recused), the U.S. Supreme Court upheld a Michigan law banning the use of Affirmative Action programs for college admissions in Schuette v. Coaltion to Defend Affirmative Action.
Posted at Tue Apr 22, 2014 at 10:14:10 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Supreme Court Strikes Down Aggregate Limits on Campaign Contributions (tmess2)
By a 5-4 decision, United States Supreme Court has struck down aggregate campaign contribution limits (the total amount given to all campaigns rather than the amount given to an individual candidate).  No majority opinion as four (Roberts, Scalia, Alito, and Kennedy) would limit the holding to this one part of the law but Thomas wants to strike down all campaign contribution limits.
Posted at Wed Apr 02, 2014 at 10:19:36 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
OK February Jobs Report: +175,000 Jobs (SarahLawrence Scott)
The confusing picture of the past few months cleared up somewhat, as the household and payroll surveys reported data which is more consistent.

According to the BLS surveys, 175,000 jobs were added in February, and the unemployment rate rose 0.1 to 6.7%. Revisions added 9,000 jobs to December and 16,000 to February. Employment to population remained at 58.8%. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs dropped back 0.3 to 51.9%, and the median duration of unemployment increased 0.4  to 16.4 weeks. Weekly hours dropped slightly to 34.2 hours, and hourly earnings rose by a substantial 9 cents to $24.31. Underemployment dropped 0.1 to 12.6%. --BLS
Posted at Fri Mar 07, 2014 at 12:05:19 PM EST
Comments: 1 [view comments]
January Jobs Surveys Continue to Show Murky Picture (SarahLawrence Scott)
Like December, the January Jobs surveys from the Bureau of Labor Statistics paint an inconsistent and conflicting picture. Remember, there are two different surveys, the "household" and "payroll" surveys, and recently they have disagreed.

According to the payroll survey, a disappointing 113,000 jobs were  added in January, with revisions revising  November upward from 241,000 to a blockbuster 274,000 and December nearly unchanged. The household survey showed employment dropping from 6.7 to 6.6%, a much stronger result, with the employment to population increasing 0.2 to 58.8%, the highest since summer of 2009. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs increased to 52.3%, and the median duration of unemployment dropped to 16.0 weeks. Weekly hours remained unchanged at 34.4 hours, and hourly earnings rose by a notable 5 cents to $24.21. Underemployment dropped 0.4 to 12.7%. --BLS

It should be emphasized that these details are surprising. The cessation of extended unemployment insurance had been expected to reduce the size of the labor force, drop weekly hours, and decrease hourly earnings as those who lost benefits either dropped out of the workforce or took low-paying part-time jobs. According to the household survey, the opposite occurred. Therefore, we'll need to wait until next month's surveys for any clarity...
Posted at Fri Feb 07, 2014 at 13:27:04 PM EST
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Jobs Surveys for December Reveal Conflicting Picture (SarahLawrence Scott)
While you may read lots of "analysis" of this month's job numbers, the truth is that jobs numbers reflect two different surveys (the "household" and "payroll" surveys), and because surveys include a margin of error, sometimes they will disagree. That is the case for the December report.

According to the payroll survey, a disappointing 74,000 jobs were  added in December, although November was revised upward from 203,000 to 241,000. The household survey showed enemployment dropping from 7.0 to 6.7%, a much stronger result, with the employment to population rate steady at 58.6%. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs dropped to 51.3%, the lowest it has been since the end of the recession. The median duration of unemployment edged up 0.1 to 17.1 weeks. Weekly hours dropped 0.1 to 34.4 hours, and hourly earnings rose by 2 cents to $24.17. Underemployment remained steady at 13.1%. --BLS
Posted at Fri Jan 10, 2014 at 19:02:55 PM EST
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Strong Jobs Report Drops Unemployment Rate to 7.0% (SarahLawrence Scott)

(Because of the distortions to the October jobs report caused by the government shut-down, the comparisons in this quick hit will be between the current, November, report and the report on September.)

203,000 jobs were reportedly added in September, with only small revisions to previous months. Unemployment dropped 0.2 to 7.0%, with the employment to population rate steady at 58.6%. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs bounced has been volatile, rising 1.1 to 53.1%. The median duration of unemployment rose 0.7 to 17.0 weeks, but is still down substantially from a year ago. Weekly hours wereunchanged at 34.5 hours, and hourly earnings rose by 6 cents to $24.15. Underemployment dropped a notable 0.4 to 13.2%. --BLS

Posted at Fri Dec 06, 2013 at 12:00:58 PM EST
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Blockbuster Jobs Report Shows 204,000 Jobs Added in October (SarahLawrence Scott)
 
Interpretation of the October jobs report is complicated by the government shut-down. There are two surveys that go in to the report: one, the payroll survey, was not directly affected by the shutdown (it may have been affected indirectly; e.g. if government contractors laid workers off or delayed hiring). The other, the household survey, was directly affected by government workers who reported themselves as being on temporary layoff. Therefore I'll separate the two this month: 

 

Payroll Survey:

204,000 jobs were reportedly added in October, with revisions adding 45,000 jobs to August and 15,000 to September. Weekly hours was unchanged at a revised 34.4 hours, and hourly earnings crept upward to $24.10.

Household Survey:

Unemployment increased 0.1 to 7.3%. The increase is attributable to those on "temporary layoff" due to the government shutdown. Employment to population rate dropped 0.3 to 58.3%; most of that drop can also be attributed to the shutdown. Underemployment increased by 0.2 to 13.8%. --BLS

Posted at Fri Nov 08, 2013 at 12:53:12 PM EST
Comments: 0 [view comments]
September Jobs Report Finally Released: Numbers Are Mixed (SarahLawrence Scott)
148,000 jobs were reportedly added in September, with revisions subtracting 15,000 from July and adding 24,000 to August. Unemployment dropped 0.1 to 7.2%, with the employment to population rate steady at 58.6%. Much of the improvement in unemployment rate came from young people, who had been particularly hard hit in recent years: those under 20 dropped from 22.7 to 21.4%, and from 23.7% a year ago; unlike the population as a whole, the participation rate is increasing too. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs bounced has been volatile, dropping 0.9 to 52.0%. The median duration of unemployment dropped 0.1 to 16.3 weeks, and is down substantially from a year ago. Weekly hours was unchanged at 34.5 hours, and hourly earnings rose by 3 cents to $24.09. Underemployment dropped by 0.1 to 13.6%. --BLS
Posted at Tue Oct 22, 2013 at 09:11:27 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
In September, ??? Jobs Were Added, Leaving Unemployment at ??? (SarahLawrence Scott)
Due to the fact that we don't have an operating government, we don't no what the state of the economy is.

But it's not like knowing how the country is doing economically is important or anything, right?
Posted at Fri Oct 04, 2013 at 08:51:44 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Another Poor Jobs Report Adds 169,000 Jobs to August, but Subtracts 74,000 From June and July (SarahLawrence Scott)
169,000 jobs were reportedly added in June, with revisions subtracting 16,000 from June and a notable 58,000 from July. Because of a continuing drop in labor force participation, unemployment dropped 0.1 to 7.3%, with the employment to population rate dropping 0.1 to 58.6%. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs bounced back up 1.0 to 52.9%, but is still down from a year ago. The median duration of unemployment rose 0.7 to 16.4 weeks, but is also down from a year ago. Weekly hours increased 0.1 to 34.5 hours, and hourly earnings rose by 5 cents to $24.05. Underemployment dropped by 0.3 to 13.7%. --BLS
Posted at Fri Sep 06, 2013 at 08:50:22 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Poor Jobs Report: Only 162,000 Jobs Gained and Downward Revisions (SarahLawrence Scott)
162,000 jobs were reportedly added in June, with revisions subtracting 19,000 from May and 7,000 from June. Because of a drop in labor force participation, unemployment dropped 0.2 to 7.4%, with the employment to population rate steady at 58.7%. A bright spot was the percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs, which dropped 0.4 to 51.9%. The median duration of unemployment continued to drop 0.6 to 15.7 weeks, the lowest since 2009 (this figure peaked at 24.8 weeks in June of 2010, and is typically under 10 weeks in good times). Weekly hours dropped 0.1 to 34.4 hours, and hourly earnings dropped by 2 cents. Underemployment dropped by 0.3 to 14.0%. --BLS
Posted at Fri Aug 02, 2013 at 08:41:42 AM EDT
Comments: 2 [view comments]
Strong Jobs Report: +195k in June, Upward Revisions to April/May (SarahLawrence Scott)
195,000 jobs were reportedly added in June, with revisions adding 50,000 to April and 20,000 to May. Unemployment was steady at 7.6%; the employment to population rate edged up 0.1 to 58.7%. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs dropped 0.3 to 52.3%. The median duration of unemployment dropped by a full week to 16.3 weeks, the lowest since the summer of 2009 (this figure peaked at 24.8 weeks in June of 2010, and is typically under 10 weeks in good times). Weekly hours were flat at 34.5 hours, and hourly earnings increased by a notable 10 cents. One dark spot is the increase in discouraged workers, which, along with an increase in the number of people employed part-time for economic reasons, helped boost underemployment by 0.5 to 14.3%. --BLS
Posted at Fri Jul 05, 2013 at 09:18:53 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Another Pretty Good Jobs Report (SarahLawrence Scott)
175,000 jobs were reportedly added in May, with revisions adding 4,000 to March and subtracting 16,000 from April. Unemployment edged up 0.1 to 7.6%; the employment to population rate was unchanged at 58.6%. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs dropped 2.2 to 52.6%. The median duration of unemployment dropped by 0.2 to 17.3 weeks, the lowest since the summer of 2009 (this figure peaked at 24.8 weeks in June of 2010, and is typically under 10 weeks in good times). Weekly hours were flat at 34.5 hours, and hourly earnings were nearly flat (up 1 cent). Underemployment dropped 0.1 to 13.8%. --BLS
Posted at Fri Jun 07, 2013 at 10:55:03 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
What Spring Swoon? Strongish Employment Report Revises Past Months Up (SarahLawrence Scott)
165,000 jobs were reportedly added in April, but revisions added 64,000 to February and 50,000 to March (for a remarkable total of 332,000 in February). Unemployment edged down 0.1 to 7.5%; the employment to population rate edged up 0.1 to 58.6%. The percentage of the unemployed who got there by losing jobs has been volatile recently, in April it increased by 1.2 to 54.8%. The median duration of unemployment resumed its downward trajectory, dropping by 0.6 to 17.5 weeks. Weekly hours dropped 0.2 to 34.4 hours--many of the new jobs appear to be part-time, causing underemployment to increase 0.1 to 13.9%. Hourly earnings increased a healthy 0.2%, however. --BLS
Posted at Fri May 03, 2013 at 09:17:06 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Senator Max Baucus to retire (Oreo)

Statement From DSCC Chair Senator Michael Bennet On Montana Senate Race

Senator Michael Bennet, Chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, issued the following statement this morning on Senator Max Baucus’s announcement and the Montana US Senate race:

“As Montana's Senior Senator and Chairman of the Finance Committee, Max Baucus has shaped and guided legislation and policy affecting every American, and his service has been a benefit to all Montanans. He has been an invaluable leader in our caucus, and he will be sorely missed. Democrats have had a great deal of electoral success in Montana over the last decade, and I am confident that will continue.  Democrats built an unprecedented ground game in Montana in 2012 when Senator Tester was reelected, and we will continue to invest all the resources necessary to hold this seat.”

Posted at Tue Apr 23, 2013 at 11:47:15 AM EDT
Comments: 0 [view comments]
Next >>


Menu


Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?

Make a New Account
Currently 1 user(s) logged on.



Subscribe to Posts

DemConWatch on Twitter
DemConWatch on Facebook


View blog authority

Add to Technorati Favorites

Wikio - Top Blogs - Politics

Who links to my website?

Sign the Petition (A)
Powered by: SoapBlox