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PPP teases NC-Senate closing

by: Matt

Mon May 10, 2010 at 15:23:28 PM EDT


For all of us who watched Kay Hagan come from behind to beat Libby Dole, and for all of us who have seen Richard Burr's approval numbers, we've been waiting for this:

Dole's polling advantage in the early part of 2008 turned out to be inflated due to her opponents' lack of name recognition, and as soon as Kay Hagan became a more familiar face to the state's voters over the course of her primary campaign she pulled within the margin of error against Dole on our first poll after she was the nominee. Our numbers tomorrow find Marshall doing even better than Hagan was at this point in the race, and Cunningham doing similarly.

We'll have the actual numbers here tomorrow.

Matt :: PPP teases NC-Senate closing

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well, it could turn out to be a roller coaster (4.00 / 1)
looking for about 65 senators and 250 reps jan 2009, to look to hold 51 and 218 a few months ago, to wondering if we might be able to keep it close to where we are, if the economy keeps picking up steam, the gulf oil spill doesnt get played like katrina, greece and europe dont go down the toilet, IIE candidates keep making george allen look like a man who thinks before speaking, and the tea party keeps destroying the GOP, we might be ok!

Let's wait and see how this runoff plays out. (0.00 / 0)
I mentioned last Wednesday after the primary that Marshall or Cunningham could use this [now] six week period for the runoff campaign to reprise Obama's two for one in North Carolina in 2008 (using the primary as a means of building the grassroots for the general).  However, this runoff could also get negative and hurt either Democrat once they are pitted one on one against Burr.  

Here's the thing: Even if one of the Democrats closes in on Burr in this race, it'll still be close (or slightly favoring Burr) and money will play a fairly sizable role.  Burr has a significant lead on that front with both Democrats lagging (in addition to the fact that this race is down pretty far on the Democrats' list.  It is high in terms of a takeover, but low in terms of what they have to defend first.).

That said, Rasmussen showed the race closer last week and now PPP follows suit.  



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