Welcome to Democratic Convention Watch

Donate to DCW


Follow DCW on Twitter
Follow DCW on Facebook
2016 Democratic Convention
2016 Republican Convention Charlotte Host Committee
DNCC
2010 Census

Follow DCW on Google+
DCW iPhone App Info
A Guide to DemConWatch
Tags
FAQ
2008 Democratic Primary Links
2008 Democratic National Convention Links
DemConWatch Archives '05-'08
DemConWatch Speeches
Inauguration Information
DCW Store

HOME
Mobile Version




Search


Advanced Search
Contributors:
MattOreo
DocJess

This site is not affiliated with the DNC, DNCC, or any campaign.

Email us at

Blog Roll
Frontloading HQ
The Field
MyDD
Swing State Project
DemNotes
DemRulz

DCW in the News
St. Louis Channel 2 News
AP
Politico
Wall Street Journal
The New York Times
NPR
Wired
US News & World Report

Sestak continues to close on Specter

by: Matt

Tue May 04, 2010 at 09:40:12 AM EDT


Latest results from the Muhlenberg College/Morning Call tracking poll show Sestak within 4 points:

           5/2   5/3   5/4
Specter    48%   49%   46%
Sestak     42%   40%   42%
Other      11%   11%   12%

Now this could be just statistical noise, or this could be a trend. But Quinnipiac shows a pretty similar 47-39 race, so there's no doubt the race is in single digits with two weeks to go. Below is the "more sensitive" Pollster chart which better shows how the gap is closing:


Update: In Kentucky, Dan Mongiardo leads Jack Conway, 36-27.

Matt :: Sestak continues to close on Specter

Follow Democratic Convention Watch on Facebook and Twitter. Iphone/Android apps available.

Tags: , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

Looks like a trend to me... (0.00 / 0)
Thanks Matt for the polling data. This is what I love about demconwatch. Looking at the data since Feb, the gap is closing big time, and I would call this a "horse race" at present.

My real question is who would be better posed to win the general? Sestak or Specter?


Sestak or Specter? (0.00 / 0)
At first glance, I'd say we don't know. Specter is currently down 5-10 points to Toomey; Sestak is down 6-11, so it's a wash.

But three things lead me to say Sestak has a better chance.

1) Sestak is just isn't well known enough among the general public for his current numbers to be that meaningful. There's much more room for growth with him than with Specter, who everyone knows.

2) Dem enthusiasm will be higher for Sestak than for Specter, who many Dems have been trying to get rid of for decades.

3) Rumor has it that this is not a good year to be a Dem incumbent.

So given all that, I would think Sestak has the better shot at pulling it off.


[ Parent ]
More on Sestak or Specter (0.00 / 0)
PPP has a somewhat similar take:

http://publicpolicypolling.blo...

They end with:

We really don't know what Pennsylvania voters think of Sestak yet, but we do know that they're not real high on Specter. If Sestak wears well as a candidate it's a situation where Democrats may be better off in the fall with a fresher face. We'll see how it shakes out...


[ Parent ]


Menu


Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?

Make a New Account


Currently 0 user(s) logged on.



Subscribe to Posts

DemConWatch on Twitter
DemConWatch on Facebook


View blog authority

Add to Technorati Favorites

Wikio - Top Blogs - Politics

Who links to my website?

Sign the Petition (A)
Powered by: SoapBlox